Супермастерство. 12 принципов усиления навыков и знания - Скотт Янг
304
Heydenreich, “Leonardo da Vinci.”
305
Brown, “Famous Picasso Paintings.”
306
Quetelet, Treatise on Man.
307
Дин Саймонтон, личная переписка.
308
Изначально Саймонтон предложил «правило равновероятности», затем повысил его до «базовой линии», отражая современные анализы исторических данных. Равный потенциал творческого успеха лучше виден в отраслях, где есть стандартные, «наименьшие пригодные для публикации единицы» (например научные статьи), в противоположность тем отраслям, где опубликованные произведения бывают совершенно разными по объему (например, от стихотворения до оперы).
309
Simonton, Greatness, 184.
310
Price, Little Science, Big Science.
311
Zuckerman, Scientific Elite, 145.
312
Davis, “Creativity in Neurosurgical Publications.”
313
Simon, “How Managers Express Their Creativity.”
314
Einstein, “Physics and Reality.”
315
Hayes, “Cognitive Processes in Creativity.”
316
Josephson, Edison, 35.
317
Bacon, Novum Organon.
318
Ogburn and Thomas, “Are Inventions Inevitable?”
319
Merton, “Singletons and Multiples.”
320
Sternberg, Handbook of Creativity, глава “Implications of a Systems Perspective for the Study of Creativity,” 313–35.
321
Simonton, Greatness, 110.
322
Edison Innovation Foundation, “Famous Quotes.”
323
Edison Innovation Foundation.
324
Diamond, Guns, Germs, and Steel.
325
Csikszentmihalyi, “Creativity and Genius.”
326
Campbell, “Blind Variation.”
327
Greenwald, “30 Life-Changing Inventions.”
328
Souriau, Théorie de l’Invention, 45.
329
Josephson, Edison, 235.
330
Josephson, 345.
331
Josephson, 199.
332
Henderson, “Semaglutide.”
333
Ghofrani, Osterloh, and Grimminger, “Sildenafil.”
334
Wertheimer, Productive Thinking.
335
Sternberg, Handbook of Creativity, 10.
336
Josephson, Edison, 79.
337
Howes, “Age of Invention.”
338
Настоящая история все же не так драматична: Эдисон действительно ушел с собственной свадьбы, чтобы поработать в лаборатории, но сам позже вспоминал, что домой вернулся уже к ужину. Josephson, Edison, 87.
339
Simonton, Greatness, 139.
340
Isaacson, Einstein, 217.
341
Simonton, Greatness, 139.
342
Simonton, 139.
343
Matthews, Helmreich, and Beane, “Pattern A.”
344
Josephson, Edison, 364.
345
Armstrong, Seinfeldia, 191.
346
Kanigel, Apprentice to Genius, 190.
347
Zuckerman, Scientific Elite, 229.
348
Feynman, “Surely You’re Joking.”
349
Newport, Deep Work.
350
Kahneman, “Don’t Blink!”
351
World Series of Poker, “2007 World Series of Poker Europe.”
352
PokerListings, “Best Poker Moments.”
353
Imir, “Annette Obrestad.”
354
Annette Obrestad, “My Story,” YouTube, October 18, 2018, 18:37, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk-0CmsIVFg.
355
Hendon Mob, “Norway All Time Money List.”
356
Magyar, Greatest Stories in Poker History, 18.
357
Magyar, 22.
358
Twain, Life as I Find It.
359
Magyar, Greatest Stories in Poker History, 44.
360
Kiger, “Nixon’s WWII Poker Game.”
361
Brunson, Super System.
362
PokerListings, “About Chris Moneymaker.”
363
Negreanu, “Daniel Negreanu Teaches Poker.”
364
Grove and Meehl, “Comparative Efficiency.”
365
Meehl, Clinical versus Statistical Prediction, 24.
366
Grove and Meehl, “Comparative Efficiency.”
367
Chi, Glaser, and Farr, Nature of Expertise, глава “Expertise and Decision Under Uncertainty.”
368
Kahneman, Tversky, and Slovic, “Judgements.”
369
Kahneman and Klein, “Conditions for Intuitive Expertise.”
370
Tetlock, Expert Political Judgment.
371
Tetlock, xx.
372
Tetlock, xi.
373
Quote Investigator, “One-Handed Economist.”
374
Tetlock and Gardener, Superforecasting, 18.
375
Tetlock and Gardener, 278.
376
Tetlock and Gardener, 200.
377
Tetlock and Gardener, 14.
378
Tetlock and Gardener, 243.
379
Benson and Önkal, “The Effects of Feedback.”
380
Yong, “Real Wisdom of the Crowds.”
381
Mercier and Sperber, Enigma of Reason.
382
Moshman and Geil, “Collaborative Reasoning.”
383
Holmes, The Essential Holmes, 45.
384
Aviation Safety Network, “ASN Accident Description.”
385
NSC Injury Facts, “Deaths by Transportation Mode.”
386
White, Medieval Technology and Social Change.
387
Crowley, “The Guns of Constantinople.”
388
Morley, “Earning Their Wings.”
389
Morley, 53.
390
Morley, 81.
